The 2014 NBA Draft took place last week, and it was one of the deeper drafts in recent memory. Armed with the 16th and 19th overall pick, there were a few options for the Bulls. Keep the two picks and add cheap, young pieces for the future. Trade both picks to move up in the draft. Trade both picks in order to acquire a “superstar,” like Kevin Love, or even Carmelo Anthony.
Going into the draft, the Bulls needed a backup point guard, shooting guard or guard who can handle the ball well, along with a backup power forward or center. I had dreamt of the Bulls selecting Michigan State products Gary Harris and Adreian Payne, and it had nothing to do with school allegiance, but fit and more importantly, talent. Harris is a bulldog of a shooting guard who can shoot it from distance as well as defend his ass off. Payne is a prototypical stretch power forward who can step outside and knock down shots as well as maneuver in the low post. Yet, there were growing reports that the Bulls were looking to move up in the draft. ‘That’s fine,’ I thought. Fine, so long as the reports that the Bulls were targeting former Michigan guard Nik Stauskas and former Creighton guard/forward Doug McDermott were false. They weren’t. Of course, they weren’t.
The Bulls traded the 16th and 19th picks to the Denver Nuggets for the 11th pick…who happened to be McDermott. Oy freaking vey, Bulls.
Don’t get me wrong; McDermott was one hell of a college basketball player. Rather, he was one hell of a college basketball scorer. In his senior year and first in the Big East Conference, McDermott finished with this line: 27.7 PPG, .541 FG%, .463 3P%, .864 FT%, 5.8 FTA (career-high), .644 TS%, .603 eFG%, and only a 7.9 TOV% despite a USG% of 36.2. Simply put, a college basketball player shouldn’t be able to score in that manner, and with such proficiency. I don’t care if you’re playing in what is undoubtedly the weakest conference in NCAA history, to post those numbers over an entire season is mind-boggling and worthy of recognition.
However, McDermott played in a watered-down Big East for the 2013-14 season. Gone from the once-powerful conference was Louisville, Pitt, Syracuse, Notre Dame, UConn, and Cincy. And those schools weren’t nearly bottom-feeders, either:
- Louisville won 31 games and reached the Sweet 16…without Chane Benahan, who was dismissed from the team.
- Pitt won 26 games and finished a solid fifth in the ACC.
- Syracuse, a 2013 Final Four team, won 28 games and finished second in the ACC, behind regular season and conference tournament champion, Virginia.
- Notre Dame, another new member of the ACC, started a very respectable 8-4 but went 7-13 in the games Jerian Grant missed due to suspension.
- All UConn did was win 32 games and the 2014 NCAA title.
- Cincinnati played stingy defense all year long as it led them to 27 wins and a share of the American Athletic Conference’s regular-season title.
The Big East was not long ago a conference that could send 7 or 8 teams to the tournament, with ease. A few of those teams would enter as national title favorites, and it wasn’t a surprise when one of them came out on top. The 2013-14 Big East was just…not good. Only three schools, Villanova, Creighton, and Marquette, found themselves in the AP Top 25 all season, and only Villanova and Creighton were ranked over the final two months. Providence made the tournament because they won the conference tournament and Xavier clearly bribed someone to go dancing, because their best win of the season was probably against Cincy, at a neutral site.
When someone tries to argue that because McDermott lit up the Big East, he will do the same in the NBA, I point to the quality of the conference today, and not five years ago, when it was arguably the best and deepest conference in the entire nation. Point out McDermott’s gaudy offensive numbers and I’ll inform you that Creighton’s offense, most likely devised by McDermott’s dad, who is also the head coach, runs through Doug. It’s not so much that “McD” averaged nearly 28 a night while the Creighton’s next-leading scorer, fellow senior Ethan Wragge averaged not even 10.5. McD attempted 17.9 shots a game while the team’s next three leading scorers didn’t attempt that many as a trio. Yes, McDermott is listed as a small forward, but he played the 4 in college. So, I’m not all that impressed by the fact he pulled down 7.5 rebounds per game over his career, because he was not doing it from a guard or primarily wing position on the floor. Watching McDermott go to work in the low post, which he did fairly often, was a pleasure. However, he’ll have to likely scrap his post game now that he’s in the NBA because he will be constantly going against defenders who are longer and more athletic than the competition he faced in college, whether in the Missouri Valley Conference or Big East. McDermott could pattern his game after Ray Allen’s, but he doesn’t have the foot speed or quickness to consistently run away from defenders while trying to maneuver around teammates’ screens.
In addition, McD is a barely average ball-handler, so you really can’t call isolation plays for him at the NBA level. Despite playing over 30 minutes a game as well as posting a USG% over 32 during his college career, he averaged only 1.3 assists per contest. Carmelo Anthony managed to at least average 2.2 APG during his one season at Syracuse, and “Melo” can certainly be a black hole on offense. And while his offensive shortcomings aren’t many, on the defensive end, McD is a flat-out non-factor.
Explain to me how someone can spend so much time on the floor, year in and year out, and not even average half a steal or block per game. If you were to combine his steal and block numbers, he doesn’t even average half a steal and block per game, combined. Monta Ellis is not a great, very good, or even good defender, really. But Ellis can get you two steals per night, and the same goes for a number of other NBA players. This is due to athleticism, mostly, which McD was not exactly blessed with. A team can’t even count on McD to play the passing lane and come away with a steal or, when guarding a smaller player, to swat a shot, or at least alter the course of it.
I’m very aware that Bulls’ head coach Tom Thibodeau is a defensive wizard and with just about any collection of 12 guys, can produce a good defensive unit. But the NBA, to an extent, is still about individual play; a game of one-on-one within a team game. McDermott is 6’7″ and 220 lbs., and will probably mostly play small forward in the NBA. It’s certainly a position of strength, whether you mention LeBron James, Melo, Kevin Durant, Paul George, Rudy Gay, or even Nic Batum and Luol Deng. Yes, Thibs’ defensive scheme calls more for team defense, but there will definitely be times when McD finds himself on the perimeter, all alone, stuck with the task of keeping LeBron or Durant in front of him. I don’t like McD’s chances in that situation. Ever.
Could McDermott wind up becoming a good NBA player? Of course he could. He’s much better than, say, Adam Morrison, another prolific college scorer who beat up on inferior competition over four years. However, the NBA is becoming increasingly athletic and while that doesn’t mean there’s no longer room for those of less-than-stellar athletic ability, it means those guys will essentially be relegated to role player status. This is especially true for guards and wings, and if McD doesn’t find himself at the 3, the only other position he’ll man is the 2.
Best-case scenario: McDermott ends up being a very good reserve; coming off the bench to provide instant offense and take advantage of opponents’ second units. Think a less athletic, less talented Paul Pierce.
Worst-case scenario: McDermott finds it much harder to score in the NBA and his lack of defensive prowess results in him becoming more of a detriment to his team. Think a taller, bigger Jimmer Fredette.
I’m still irked about the McDermott deal. Not only did they give up draft value, but they also took on the contract of Anthony Randolph, who has been a disappointment to this point in his NBA career. While one would think the Bulls set out to save money, they actually lost cap space with the deal. Randolph could be moved, but it would have to be part of a package.
And yet, I wasn’t surprised by this move. Really, I wasn’t. Trading the 16th and 19th pick along with a future first-rounder to move into the top 7 would have been too grand a move for a franchise that, outside of the trade for Dennis Rodman and Elton Brand/Tyson Chandler swap, doesn’t really make bold moves. “Thibs” definitely is fond of more experienced players, as two recent first-round draft picks who spent four years in college, Taj Gibson and Jimmy Butler, are projected to start next season. So again, this move makes sense when considering the preferences of Thibs. When taking into account that the Bulls are still without a backup point guard and that if Carlos Boozer is amnestied, there’s no front court depth behind Gibson and Joakim Noah, this moves makes no sense at all. And if the Bulls don’t go into the 2014-15 season with Melo, LeBron, Love, or European prospect Nikola Mirotic, the move definitely makes no sense and will go down as a big, fat, red F in my grade book.
I don’t blame McDermott for any of this. And while the deal still has not given me any reason to celebrate it, I’m no longer really angered by it. This, because McDermott is just so…Bulls.